Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.004438 0.004999 0.005633 0.006411 0.007348 0.008452 0.009868
2026-01-04 0.003693 0.004411 0.005295 0.006489 0.008096 0.010245 0.013448
2026-01-11 0.003213 0.003983 0.004987 0.006435 0.008547 0.011657 0.016897
2026-01-18 0.002899 0.003700 0.004791 0.006449 0.009038 0.013189 0.021039
2026-01-25 0.002615 0.003410 0.004530 0.006304 0.009227 0.014261 0.024804
2026-02-01 0.002355 0.003121 0.004227 0.006036 0.009148 0.014828 0.027817
2026-02-08 0.002138 0.002871 0.003951 0.005766 0.009004 0.015223 0.030636
2026-02-15 0.002031 0.002771 0.003890 0.005834 0.009464 0.016920 0.037560
2026-02-22 0.001900 0.002623 0.003736 0.005720 0.009559 0.017873 0.043117
2026-03-01 0.001775 0.002474 0.003568 0.005557 0.009526 0.018526 0.048266
2026-03-08 0.001671 0.002351 0.003431 0.005433 0.009548 0.019320 0.054591
2026-03-15 0.001628 0.002321 0.003443 0.005585 0.010183 0.021887 0.070541
2026-03-22 0.001592 0.002304 0.003486 0.005824 0.011117 0.025857 0.100625
2026-03-29 0.001530 0.002241 0.003444 0.005892 0.011683 0.029104 0.135851
2026-04-05 0.001458 0.002155 0.003353 0.005844 0.011955 0.031567 0.174601
2026-04-12 0.001400 0.002090 0.003294 0.005857 0.012388 0.034910 0.238163
2026-04-19 0.001330 0.001998 0.003177 0.005730 0.012413 0.036711 0.297371
2026-04-26 0.001252 0.001889 0.003021 0.005495 0.012089 0.036891 0.337101
2026-05-03 0.001180 0.001786 0.002870 0.005259 0.011716 0.036723 0.374044
2026-05-10 0.001148 0.001753 0.002849 0.005318 0.012242 0.041183 0.576926
2026-05-17 0.001101 0.001689 0.002764 0.005218 0.012258 0.043143 0.763095
2026-05-24 0.001052 0.001620 0.002665 0.005075 0.012110 0.044172 0.958372
2026-05-31 0.001010 0.001561 0.002584 0.004965 0.012053 0.045757 1.280016